Conditions: Baltimore, Maryland, 03/28/2024 07:50:02 pm
Temperature

50°

Mostly Cloudy

26°

Dew Point
Relative Humidity

39%

Feels Like

50°

Wind (NW)

6mph

Air Pressure

29.92

Sun
Sun Rise

06:56 AM

Sun Set

07:26 PM

Day Length

12:30 Hours

Difference

2 min 34 sec gain

Moon
Moon Rise

11:05 PM

Moon Set

08:19 AM

Next: Last Quarter

Apr 01,2024

Moon Phase

Waning Gibbous

Climate
Average Low

37°

58°

Average High
Record Low

21°


(1982)

87°


(1945)
Record High
Conditions

Winter Storm And Blizzard Update Friday Night To Saturday

Coastal Storm
Winter Weather
Forecast
Warnings

Friday January 28 2022

Night  Update

At 10 PM, we can see the storm taking full form off of the East Coast.  While it appeared to have formed a little west of the NAM forecast location, the track by our region is on target, so not much other that watch it do its thing.

This update shows conditions at 10 PM, and the radar simulation through Noon Saturday. I also included the forecast conditions at 8 AM in hopes this helps you plan for morning. 

Surface Weather 

This is very complex with the arctic air and clipper to our west, and a Double Barrel Low off the Coast.  The combination and track is working out as planned for tonight.

 

Temperatures 

Freezing temps spread to most of Maryland, and will reach the beach before midnight. Full on stickage and accumulation taking place.

 

Radar At 10 PM

It is hard for Doppler to track the fine flakes in the colder air, but there is light snow falling back to Frederick County. Just enough to lay and stay.

I noticed a deformation zone with enhanced snow banding just west of I-95 between Washington and Baltimore. This may help boost this region to the 2”+ snow category. 

The main event it on Delmarva, where the Winter Storm Warning and Blizzard Warning will be justified with over 6″ of snow…

 



 

 

UPDATE:

Click To See:  SATURDAY MORNING REPORT

 

Animation

Radar Loop 8 PM to 10 PM

*There is a long pause a the end of the loop. Wait for it to reboot….

Putting this in motion, we can see the development of those bands even better.

Also that region around the Bay filling in

 

 

 

Radar Simulation 

NAM 3 Km Model —> slider

The back edge of the snow should take form shortly after midnight. That back edge will wobble a little back and forth around Baltimore… Then shift east AFTER 3 AM.

Eastern Shore will continue to get pounded at sunrise, then end by noon. 

 

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STORM ALERTS

 

  • Blizzard is qualified by 35 mph sustained winds with snow rates of 1”/Hr or higher for 3 consecutive hours.
  • Winter Storm Warnings: Snow likely over 5 inches
  • Winter Weather Advisory: Snow likely ‘at least’ 1 to 3 inches.

 

Morning Conditions 

What to expect around 8 AM

Temperatures 

 

Wind Chill

 

 

Wind Speed

 

 

Wind Gusts

 

 

 



 

Snow Forecasts

Compare My Updated Call To Models and NWS Office Forecasts

 

New Computer Model Snow Data

American Models

NAM 3 Km

 

GFS

 

 

European ECMWF

 

Canadian GEM

 

Also See:

Model Snow Maps Below

Click For Page: NWS Regional Office Snow Forecast Maps

 

https://justinweather.com/winter-weather/nws-snow-ice-forecasts/#ExpectedSnowfallforDelaware

 

 

Faith in the Flakes!

 

 

*Disclaimer due to frequent questions:

I am aware there are some spelling and grammar typos. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here you may have missed it:

I have dyslexia, and found out at my second year at Cornell.  I didn’t stop me from getting my meteorology degree, and being first to get the AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. 

I do miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The autocorrect spell check on my computer sometimes does an injustice to make it worse. 

All of the maps and information are accurate. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. 

There is no editor that can check my work when I need it and have it ready to send out in a newsworthy timeline. 

I accept this and perhaps proves what you read is really from me…

It’s part of my charm.

#FITF

 

 

 

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ALSO SEE

 

What is Faith in the Flakes: History of December 5th Snow

 

ALL FITF GEAR

 

 

 

FITF THUNDERSNOW

 

 

 

 

Winter Outlook Series:

My Call For Snowfall

 

 

Last Winter Recap: My Old Outlook And Your Grades Of My Storm Forecasts

Winter Weather Page – Lots of resources

 

 

Solar Cycle Increasing Sunspots Suggests More Snow

 

Comparing 4 Different Farmer’s Almanacs: Majority colder winter outlook than NOAA

 

NOAA Winter Outlook- But Read The Fine Print

 

Signals For Early Start To Winter In November

 

Winter Outlook Series: La Nina Double Dip

 

Nor’easters May Give Hint For Winter La Nina Pattern

 

Winter Folklore Checklist

 

 

 




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Facebook: Justin Berk, Meteorologist

Twitter: @JustinWeather

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